Well. It’s time for some harsh judgments on my predictions. With Super Fat Tuesday behind us, what have we got?
It looks like McCain is a lock for the Republican nomination as I predicted here, but Hillary’s lead over Obama this morning is way smaller than I thought it would be with only 79 more than Obama as of this morning. That’s only 79 out of 2,025 delegates that go to the Democratic National Convention. Call it what it is – a tie. Moreover, in yesterday’s contests Hillary won only 8 more delegates than Obama – that’s 8 delegates out of 990 decided yesterday. Talk about about a close race.
This past Saturday I predicted that yesterday’s votes would seal it for Hillary and that was clearly wrong. It looks like it could be a battle royal from here on out – maybe all of the way to Denver this August. If Hillary doesn’t get the nomination then clearly she can’t be the next president as I predicted. Furthermore, Obamamania has apparently succeeded in cracking through the demographic barriers that I thought would stop it yesterday when I wrote about his prospects here.
I’m glad that I’m already done with my predictions for this year! I’m going to leave it to the pros from this point forward. I can’t wait to read what Michael Barone has to say about the results yesterday. His analysis is always very insightful.
In another note, a spike in my blog traffic this morning was driven by a link from the Wall Street Journal of all places. I have no illusions that some wise old editor picked out my thoughts from the infinite blogosphere – I’m sure it was some sort of blog scraping robot. But it’s still kind of cool.
